Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.004784 0.005413 0.006130 0.007014 0.008087 0.009362 0.011013
2025-12-21 0.004017 0.004835 0.005854 0.007247 0.009151 0.011741 0.015680
2025-12-28 0.003621 0.004547 0.005778 0.007593 0.010314 0.014459 0.021759
2026-01-04 0.003273 0.004240 0.005586 0.007690 0.011088 0.016787 0.028256
2026-01-11 0.002966 0.003935 0.005333 0.007621 0.011551 0.018712 0.035015
2026-01-18 0.002743 0.003715 0.005165 0.007639 0.012141 0.021036 0.044070
2026-01-25 0.002516 0.003462 0.004908 0.007457 0.012317 0.022588 0.052404
2026-02-01 0.002292 0.003191 0.004590 0.007119 0.012113 0.023249 0.058814
2026-02-08 0.002099 0.002950 0.004295 0.006777 0.011830 0.023638 0.064808
2026-02-15 0.002007 0.002859 0.004237 0.006858 0.012443 0.026471 0.082940
2026-02-22 0.001887 0.002715 0.004073 0.006715 0.012534 0.027969 0.097727
2026-03-01 0.001774 0.002573 0.003902 0.006534 0.012500 0.029112 0.112842
2026-03-08 0.001676 0.002457 0.003778 0.006459 0.012775 0.031569 0.142813
2026-03-15 0.001627 0.002418 0.003788 0.006664 0.013814 0.037277 0.217817
2026-03-22 0.001594 0.002404 0.003842 0.006970 0.015227 0.045590 0.379580
2026-03-29 0.001536 0.002342 0.003799 0.007056 0.016059 0.052389 0.618450
2026-04-05 0.001467 0.002255 0.003699 0.006995 0.016439 0.057544 0.953339
2026-04-12 0.001412 0.002190 0.003636 0.007011 0.017076 0.064874 1.731158
2026-04-19 0.001344 0.002096 0.003507 0.006850 0.017088 0.068729 2.754971
2026-04-26 0.001267 0.001982 0.003330 0.006549 0.016550 0.068704 3.579634
2026-05-03 0.001195 0.001874 0.003158 0.006244 0.015940 0.067844 4.453377
2026-05-10 0.001164 0.001840 0.003135 0.006317 0.016714 0.077993 15.882158
2026-05-17 0.001117 0.001773 0.003040 0.006189 0.016714 0.082355 48.721580